Trump has majority support in GOP for 2024 run

 Stacy Lennox:

While the 2020 election continues to be litigated, some outlets are looking ahead to 2024. While Democrats and some in the GOP establishment have been hoping a Trump defeat would return the GOP to “normal,” don’t count on it. According to a Politico-Morning Consult Poll, if the 2024 Republican primary were held today, 53% of Republicans would vote for Donald Trump. Another 12% would vote for Vice President Mike Pence.

This is more than the plurality with which Trump won the primary in 2016. This should send a message to the party leadership that they would be foolish to ignore, but not because one should assume Donald Trump would run in 2024 or that these numbers aren’t likely to move significantly as interested candidates work to raise their profiles.

It seems evident that there is 65% percent approval among the GOP for the agenda this administration has pursued. Vice President Pence has been a staunch supporter of the president’s agenda, and this is clear from his 2020 stump speeches and his campaigning to keep the Senate majority. Voters would expect him to implement a similar agenda in a different package, more like a panther in a China shop rather than a bull.

Call it “America First” or whatever you like. President Trump made commitments during the 2016 election and accomplished an astonishing number of them that benefited working families and the economy. Americans’ prosperity and security were at the top of his agenda. This resulted in record-low unemployment, rising wages, and things like the threat of terrorist attacks fading from Americans’ concerns.

Even after the pandemic began, 56% of Americans said they were better off than they were four years ago, according to Gallup. This was significantly higher than any other incumbent scored, including Ronald Reagan before his landslide in 1984. The enthusiasm among Trump’s supporters was also demonstrated by his ability to draw crowds and the efforts by the media to downplay it in polling. To alienate the president, his allies, and even his children would alienate members of the coalition he built.

The New York Times speculated about Trump’s ability to hold onto power within the Republican Party post-electoral defeat. According to Maggie Haberman’s sources, current RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel is viewed as Trump’s conduit to maintain control close to the controversy. Haberman claims President Trump will have no infrastructure once he leaves office. Apparently, she forgot he didn’t have one when he won the primary.

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Trump won many Republicans over by actually keeping his campaign promises and pushing one of the most conservative agenda in recent memory and had success both at home and abroad.  It would be hard to deny him the nomination if he ran.  Biden is going to be Obama 2.0 and will likely screw up at home and abroad.

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