New poll shows tightening race for mid-terms
The latest Fox News poll finds a tightening race when voters are asked their candidate preference in this fall’s congressional election.I think the Democrats chances of picking up any seats in Texas are remote. They could pick up some in Pennsylvania where that state's Democrat control Supreme Court overruled the GOP controlled legislature and imposed a Democrat gerrymander.
That’s good news for Republicans because Democrats were up by 15 points in October (50-35 percent) in the so-called generic ballot test. Now, it’s a 5-point edge, as 46 percent of voters would back the Democratic candidate in their district and 41 percent the Republican.
"Just winning the popular national vote is not enough to flip the House," says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts the poll with Democrat Chris Anderson. "Given the GOP's districting advantages, data from 2012 and 2014 show the Democrats need an edge of at least five points to bring the majority into play."