Arnold moves to top

The recall race has moved in Arnold Schwarzenegger"s direction since last weeks debate.

"...Overnight polls taken statewide since Wednesday night's rollicking debate show that contrary to many pundits' conclusions, Schwarzenegger's barb-driven performance didn't hurt him with voters. Far from it.

"Lt. Gov. Bustamante, on the other hand, continued his slide -- with overnight tracking showing 50 percent of those surveyed now having an unfavorable opinion of him.

"One overnight poll commissioned by a Democratic-leaning union -- one of the state's biggest -- had it this way:

-- Schwarzenegger at 31 percent.

-- Bustamante at 24 percent.

-- Tom McClintock at 15 percent.

-- Peter Camejo at 4 percent.

-- Arianna Huffington at 3 percent.

"And 23 percent were still undecided or voting for one of the other 130 people on the ballot.

"In other words -- Arnold is No. 1, even with rival Republican McClintock staying in the race."

"...Put it all together and you have a growing consensus among Democratic leaders that the only line of defense left is to beat the recall.

"But from the looks of things, that's not going to be easy -- even with recall fever cooling.

"Overnight tracking numbers from both the Democratic and GOP camps show the 'yes' vote still hanging at 52 percent to 54 percent."

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