Black voters unlikely to give Harris overwhelming support

 NY Post:

Kamala Harris campaign could be doomed by black voters’ fading Democratic loyalty

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Black voters were 29% of Georgia’s electorate in 2020, and Biden carried them by 77 points. Harris would easily lose the state if she were to carry them by only 55 or 60 points this year.

They are particularly important to her hopes in the three Midwestern swing states. Blacks comprised 11% or 12% of all voters in Pennsylvania and Michigan in 2020, and Biden carried them by 85 points in both states.

The math is stark for the Democrats: Harris would lose Pennsylvania by about 1.5 percentage points if her margin with black voters is 20 points lower than Biden’s was.

A similar showing in Michigan would nearly erase Biden’s victorious 2.8% margin there, making her even more dependent on groups like the state’s large Arab population to see her through.

She would even lose Wisconsin, a much whiter state, if her current margin among black voters doesn’t improve. Blacks were only 6% of the Badger State’s electorate in 2020, but Biden won them by 84 points en route to a narrow .63% victory.

Harris will lose Wisconsin by about the same margin if she wins its black vote by “only” 64 points.

This means the contest for black votes is crucial for both candidates.

Trump has to keep the small but real gains he has made among black voters, while Harris has to win back these formerly staunch Democrats who have seemingly become disenchanted with the administration in which she serves.

That’s much easier said than done.

Only 56% of black respondents approved of Biden’s job performance in the most recent Economist/YouGov poll, and even fewer approved of his performance on the economy (51%) and immigration (40%).
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The inflation caused by the Democrats' reckless spending has a dramatic impact on people with a fixed income like most blacks and whites with the same fixed income.  It also impacts retirees dependent on Social Security.

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