Polls showing a tightening race for President
Sun Prairie Star:
The latest battleground state polls show the presidential race is much tighter than the mainstream media and some prognosticators would have you believe. And there is still room for it to flip either way in the closing days.I have not posted much on polling because it has been too inconsistent. I am also not suggesting that these polls mean that Trump is pulling even. There remains a significant disparity between polls like these and some of the more mainstream publications and I would not rely on any of them at this point. But as the election draws closer if you see other polls going in this direction it is an indicator that their earlier polls may have been an effort to shape opinions rather than reflect them.
4 state polls by Axiom Strategies-Remington Research Group conducted Oct. 20 to 22 find Donald Trump ahead of Hillary Clinton in North Carolina 47 to 44 percent and in Ohio 46 to 42 percent. Clinton is aheadin Pennsylvania 45 to 42 percent. And in Florida things are all tied up at 46 percent apiece.
Another poll by Bloomberg in Florida conducted Oct. 21 to 24 shows Trump ahead 45 to 43 percent.
Meaning, things could not be any closer. And there is room to pick up the margin of victory in each state. In the Remington polls, in North Carolina, 5 percent remain undecided. In Ohio, 6 percent are undecided. In Florida, 5 percent are undecided. And in Pennsylvania, a whopping 7 percent are undecided.
As for Bloomberg's Florida poll, 2 percent are unsure and a curious 4 percent would not say who they preferred.