Election watch favors GOP

 Roll Call:

House update: 9 races move toward GOP, only 1 the other way
Nevada sweep is possible as drag from Biden, economy continues
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There’s still a chance for Biden to regain some of his political footing. But pervasive economic issues from inflation to high gas prices to supply chain disruptions — as well as crime — continue to dominate the conversation, and voters are poised to punish Democrats in power for the lack of progress on solutions.

In California, Orange County is looking like a potential problem for Democrats. The traditionally Republican area clearly didn’t see eye to eye with former President Donald Trump, but it could snap back to the GOP. Democratic Rep. Katie Porter won’t lose for a lack of campaign funds (she had $17.8 million at the end of March), but she might have a political problem that money can’t fix. Former state Assembly Minority Leader Scott Baugh would be a credible challenger for Republicans. The rating of the 47th District race has changed in the GOP’s favor from Likely Democratic to Lean Democratic.

Rep. Lauren Boebert of Colorado is one of Republicans’ most visible firebrands, but Democrats this year are going to have a hard time winning any districts like hers, which Trump won by 8 points in 2020. And if Boebert happens to lose the June 28 primary, Republicans will have an even better chance of holding her 3rd District. Democrats will raise a lot of money because donors recognize her, but this seat isn’t flipping this cycle. The rating has moved from Likely Republican to Solid Republican.
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There are many of us waiting to vote against every Democrat on the ballot.  The Democrats in Congress are as much responsible for their unpopularity as Biden is.  They are as responsible as he is for the inflationary economy and if it were not for a couple of brave Democrats they would have done more damage.  Manchin and Sinema were the only Democrats with any sense during this Congress.

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