Trump closing the gap with Biden

Paul Bedard:
While the media have been hyping polls showing Democrat Joe Biden with a sizable and growing lead over President Trump, the outfit that called the 2016 popular vote correctly shows the 2020 race neck and neck.
A week after finding that Trump closed a 10-point gap with Biden to just 3 points, Rasmussen Reports today revealed that Trump has edged up another point as Biden hits a ceiling.
On Wednesday, the race stood at 45% for Trump and 47% for Biden, well within the poll’s margin of error. It was published in Rasmussen’s weekly “White House Watch” feature.
Separately, Rasmussen said that Trump has boosted his approval rating to 49%, with 50% of respondents disapproving.
What’s more, at this stage of his presidency, former President Barack Obama also had a 49% approval rating and went on to win reelection with 51% of the vote.
Unlike some polls that undercount Republicans and survey adults or registered voters, Rasmussen slightly overcounts Democrats and polls likely voters, which is considered more accurate. In 2016, it had Hillary Clinton leading Trump nationally on the eve of the election by 2 points. Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1 points.
...
When you consider that states like California are overwhelmingly dominated by Democrats it is quite possible that Trump has sufficient votes in the rest of the country to carry the electoral vote.  There is also the fact that Biden's policies are so out of touch with reality that he is likely to lose support as more people become aware of his positions..

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