People reluctant to express opinion on nominee close to those who support Trump position on issues

Power Line:

The Cato Institute has released a poll on self-censorship conducted by the highly respected YouGov survey unit that finds 62 percent of Americans say they have political opinions they are afraid to speak because they fear giving offense or losing their jobs. Moreover, as the reports notes, this represents an increase from the last such poll taken in 2017: “The share of Americans who self‐​censor has risen several points since 2017 when 58% of Americans agreed with this statement.”

The internals of this poll are more striking than the headline 62% number, as this first chart reveals. Notice that it is only “strong liberals” (these would be college faculty and far-left activists and young media types) who say they do not fear giving offense from their views:

Significant that even a majority of liberals now say they practice self-censorship. And as indicated, even “strong liberals” have seen an increase in self-censorship since 2017, as this chart shows....
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There is more.

What is interesting about the 62 percent is that it is roughly the support on issues that Trump favors.  If that correlation turns out to be predictive, it suggests Trump could win in a landslide and the current horse race polls will be as off as they were in 2016.

This poll also gives some indication of how the cancel culture has made horse race polling a very inexact process.