Republicans lead on 9 out of 10 key issues
A new Gallup poll shows Republicans leading on nine out of 10 key issues the pollster uses to determine which side has an advantage ahead of the election. Gallup said the GOP trails only on the approval of Congress, and voters don't like either party on that.
"The political environment suggests the election is Trump's and Republicans' to lose," Gallup said. "Nearly every indicator of the election context is favorable to the Republican Party, and those that aren't are essentially tied rather than showing a Democratic advantage."
Party identification has traditionally been a strong indicator in predicting election outcomes, Gallup said, and this year, 48% say they are, or lean, Republican, versus 45% who are, or lean, Democrat — a GOP advantage not seen in decades.
Gallup said, "Republicans previously have not had an outright advantage in party affiliation during the third quarter of a presidential election year, and they have rarely outnumbered Democrats in election and non-election years over the past three decades."
The second highly predictive measure is which party voters believe will better handle big problems. In this, too, Republicans outgun Democrats, by 46%-41%, mostly on the view they are better suited to handle the economy. The poll finds that respondents view the GOP as the party that will make American prosperous by a 50%-44% margin.
...
If these factors hold, it should not be as close of a race as is currently predicted. When it comes to the issues the main issue for many Democrats is just being anti-Trump.
See also:
Walz Education Appointee Calls for the Overthrow of the U.S.
And:
And:
Early mail-in voting data signals good news for GOP, Trump: expert
Democrats dominated mail-in voting in 2020
And:
Here's the Part of the NYT's Poll That Shocked This CNN Host
Comments
Post a Comment