Census likely to increase Republicans in Congress--Texas to gain two seats in Congress

Red States:
The Census Bureau just released national population estimates, because they reflect the population as of July 1, 2019, they give us a real insight into what will happen with decennial census that will be carried out in 2020.

Here is a snapshot

42 states and the District of Columbia had fewer births in 2019 than 2018. Eight states saw increases in births – Washington (612), Utah (293), Nevada (232), Arizona (175), Idaho (166), Montana (66), Vermont (44), and Colorado (30).

Twenty-four states and the District of Columbia saw increases in their number of deaths compared to the previous year. Four states had more deaths than births, also called natural decrease: West Virginia (-4,679), Maine (-2,262), New Hampshire (-121) and Vermont (-53).

Twenty-seven states and the District of Columbia lost population through net domestic migration between 2018 and 2019, six of which had losses over 25,000, and three of which experienced losses greater than 100,000. The top states with net domestic migration loss were California (-203,414), New York (-180,649), Illinois (-104,986), New Jersey (-48,946), Massachusetts (-30,274) and Louisiana (-26,045).

The Wall Street Journal translated the migration and natality/mortality patterns into what will probably happen in 2020.

Based on Monday’s figures, Texas is poised to gain two congressional seats, and Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Montana, North Carolina and Oregon are expected to gain one. Eight states are expected to lose one seat: California, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and West Virginia.

If this plays out as predicted, Democrat strongholds will lose 5 House seats. This probably means a that Republicans in those states will find themselves the victims of redistricting to preserve Democrat Congressional seats.
...
California is among those states losing a House seat along with other predominately blue states.  West Virginia appears to be the only red state losing a House seat.  It will be interesting to see if other states will now adopt the Texas model of low regulation and low taxes.

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