The Ostrich approach to analyizing Iran and nukes

Tony Blankley:

On Monday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad cheerfully announced in a televised speech that Iran has now joined the club of countries with "industrial-level" nuclear enrichment -- confirming that Iran has begun enriching uranium with 3,000 centrifuges.
Exactly a year ago, Monday, Iran revealed it had 164 centrifuges. Until Monday, Iran was believed to have increased that number only to 328. Experts explain that when the number of operational centrifuges reaches about 50,000, Iran can build nuclear weapons. Mr. Ahmadinejad went on to brag that world powers cannot stop Iran's nuclear drive, and that his country's atomic program is on its way "to the summit" -- where, presumably, one would find something more than a peaceful nuclear electricity plant.
I might add, when, a year ago, I and others expressed alarm at the 164 centrifuges Iran had then developed, I was told by a number of experts that due to the remarkably complex and sensitive nature of the technology of integrating centrifuges, it was much harder, technically, to move from a couple hundred to several thousand. Apparently, now a year later, that formidable technical challenge has been surmounted.
Keep in mind, the CIA's assessment -- last year -- that Iran was five to 10 years from being able to develop nuclear weapons presumably based that guess, at least in part, on the experts' expectation that moving from hundreds to thousands of centrifuges was more formidable than it turned out to be.
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Following the release of this news on Monday, the hot big news stories on cable that afternoon were: Don Imus' apology for saying rude things about a college women's basketball team, a shooting at an office building in Troy, N.Y., PresidentBush's umpteenth announcement that he really does want to pass a "comprehensive" immigration bill this year and the spring snowstorms in the Midwest and Northeast last weekend. I guess Iran advancing surprisingly quickly toward a nuclear capacity didn't make the newsiness cut.
Further, and curiously, on Monday the world price of oil went down $2.77, described on the business news due to "reduced tensions" between Iran and the West after the release of the British hostages. In other words, millions of worldwide investor decisions judged the news of Iran's nuclear development to not be increasing tensions.
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What kink of media is it that is more concerned about an old white guy getting in trouble for imitation black rappers? The analyst have underestimated Iran and its nuke for years, but seem content to continue with taht effort and disregard new evidence to the contrary, not to mention Iran's non to veiled threats and posturing on the issue.

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