Can pollsters be trusted?
We’ve touched on polls before, but I don’t think I’ve seen anything quite as egregious in pollsters’ bias as recently when they apparently or supposedly or purportedly surveyed the first 100 days of President Donald Trump and the public reaction.
Almost immediately headlines blared, “Worst First 100 Days in History.” “Trump Drops From 52 to 42.”
Everybody was confounded because the economic news was pretty good. Job growth was just spectacular. Over 170,000 jobs. Inflation was down. Energy prices were down. Corporate profits were up. There was a movement on the trade question. Ukraine still—there was no bad news except the controversy and chaos of a counterrevolution.
So, what were the pollsters trying to tell us? Or were they trying to manipulate us? And I think it’s the latter.
Larry Kudlow, for example, the Fox, former Fox Business—I think he still is at Fox. He pointed out that when he examined The New York Times and The Washington Post polls, they were deliberately not counting people who surveyed that they were Trump voters in 2024. That was half the country. They were only polling about a third. Think of that. A third of the people that said they voted for Trump they polled. Not half. So, of course, their results were going to be disputed or suspect.
But here’s another thing. There were analyses after each of the 2016, the 2020, and the 2024 elections about the accuracy of polls, post facto, of the election. And we learned that they were way off in 2016. They said they had learned their lessons. They were way off in 2020. They said they learned their lesson. And they were way off in 2024.
And why are they way off? Because liberal pollsters—and that’s the majority of people who do these surveys—believe that if they create artificial leads for their Democratic candidates, it creates greater fundraising and momentum. Kind of the herd mentality. “Oh, Trump is down by six. I don’t wanna vote for him. Then he won’t win.” That’s the type of thing that they want to create.
I’ll give you one example. The most egregious. The most egregious of all these polls was the NPR/PBS/Marist poll. They have Donald Trump just very unpopular after 100 days. Very unpopular. This is the now-defunded Corporation for Public Broadcasting, that umbrella organization from which this poll was funded and conducted.
Do we remember that poll? It was the one poll that came out the night before the 2024 election. They said that then-Vice President Kamala Harris would win by four points. And they said it was beyond the margin of error. And one of the pollsters said, “It’s her race to lose.” She lost by a point and a half. They were five and a half points. Did they apologize? No. Here they are again.
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I get the impression the pollsters were trying to rig the election for the Democrats. Was this another example of media Trump hatred? Possibly. The vast majority of the media oppose Trump. When up to 90 percent of the media is made up of Democrats, I suppose we should expect that kind of bias. Why else would they deliberately avoid polling Trump voters?
Personally, I have voted for Trump all three times he was the Republican nominee. Trump was clearly a better president than Joe Biden, even before Biden's dementia was too apparent to ignore, which the media tried to do anyway.
See also:
And:
BREAKING: MSNBC producer admits feds fed them anti-Trump narratives in exchange for access. Should Trump’s FCC pull their license?
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