Is New Hampshire returning to its GOP roots?
Former President Donald Trump has closed within striking range of Vice President Kamala Harris in New Hampshire, a state the GOP hasn’t claimed in a presidential race since 2000.
A new Emerson College Polling/WHDH poll, conducted Oct. 21-23, shows Harris with a narrow lead of just three points over Trump, garnering support from 50% of likely voters compared to Trump’s 47%. Third-party candidates pull 2%, with 1% of voters still undecided.
This slim margin signals a more competitive race than many anticipated in the Democratic-leaning state as Trump gains momentum in a state that President Joe Biden carried by over 7% in 2020. Recent polling shows a noticeable shift among male voters in favor of Trump, while Harris maintains a lead among women similar to Biden’s in the last election.
“Harris’ margin among women is similar to that of Biden in 2020 — however, male voters have shifted about two points toward Trump,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “In addition, Harris is underperforming Biden’s 2020 support among independent voters, who break for Harris by 13 points, but broke for Biden by about double that amount.”
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Kamala Harris is a weak candidate and the slurs against Trump are not as effective in 2024 as they were in 2020. Since the exposure of the Russian Collusion Hoax, the Democrats have had to resort to the real issues in a campaign against Trump. The fact is the Trump administration was much more effective than the Biden-Harris regime.
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