Obama's credibility problem on display in Afghan deal

NY Times:

Karzai’s Bet: U.S. Is Bluffing in Warning on Security Pact

President Hamid Karzai on Sunday at the gathering of Afghan leaders whose advice on a security agreement he has rejected.
President Hamid Karzai appears to believe the United States would not follow through on its warning that it may leave no troops in Afghanistan if he fails to sign the pact.
His bluff in Syria and elsewhere has been called and nothing really happens.  Karzai may calculate that the effect of the Iraq pullout may make Obama less likely to do a hasty retreat from Afghanistan.  It is really in neither countries best interest for the US to pullout completely.

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