Blue state voters moving to red states
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The population shift is radically redefining the electoral map for national elections. Political strategists think in terms of combinations: What collection of states do we need to win? But when the math changes, so must your map.
Across all of the possible scenarios in the nine states that would be considered battlegrounds in the 2032 election, Democrats would see about a third of their current winning Electoral College combinations disappear if population projections hold. However, when looking only at the most feasible winning combinations based on voting behaviors in the 2024 election, the outlook is far worse. Of Democrats’ 25 most plausible paths to victory in 2024, only five would remain. [emphasis added]
Remember, this is entirely independent of all the other cultural shifts, including the political migration of Latinos, black men, and young people away from the Dems and into the GOP. This is something far more meaningful: We’re rewriting the value of the map itself.
Suddenly, a touchdown is worth 10 points and a field goal only two — and what do ya know, Team Trump was built to score touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Dems blew their budget on kickers.
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Which means, things could get lopsided in a hurry.
Reason #2: The Wrong Side of the Crime Issue
Ever since 2015, when “literally Hitler” descended the escalator of Trump Tower and announced his presidential bid, the Democrats have operated under a simple calculus: If Trump is for it, we’re against it! Nay, not just against it: WE HATE IT!
It’s put them on the wrong side of way too many issues, including immigration, biological men in women’s sports, the Woke agenda, and countless more.
The latest example is crime.
The Democrats are howling over President Trump’s “military takeover” of liberal cities like Los Angeles and Washington, D.C. To them, it’s proof positive that “literally Hitler” really is (checks notes) “literally Hitler”:
NBC News: Black mayors and leaders decry Trump’s threats to deploy National Guard in cities
PBS: Trump’s DC rhetoric echoes history of racist narratives about urban crime
The Atlantic: For Trump, This Is a Dress Rehearsal
Newsweek: Bill Maher Is Right. There Is a Slow-Moving Coup
Robert Reich: How to Stop Trump’s Second Coup
The Washington Post: Trump has brilliantly orchestrated a legal coup
MSNBC: ‘Soft Coup’: The Weeknight panel slams Trump’s move to federalize D.C. police
The Independent: Is Trump’s America in the middle of a coup?
Which is why the early polling data is so compelling. This ran in The Hill yesterday: “54 percent of voters say Trump’s actions in DC are justified: Poll”
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It is not a coup. It is just common sense. Democrats have been failures at running cities where crime is out of control. Blue states like California and New York, along with Illinois, are losing population. Many of their citizens are voting with their moving vans. They would rather be in Texas or Florida.
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Politics NYT Panics, Warns Dems Of Catastrophic Shift In Electoral College Makeup
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