Paxton polling ahead of Cornyn in Texas Senate race
U.S. Senate Republicans, already in cruise control for 2026, may keep a seat while losing an incumbent in the process, if polling holds showing his conservative primary challenger keeping a sizable lead.
Members of the MAGA faithful are at odds with Texas Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX), a top ally to former Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) who has drawn a primary challenge from the state’s attorney general, Ken Paxton. Cornyn, who started the year off running to replace McConnell as Senate leader, now finds himself under fire as he seeks to keep a seat he’s held for more than two decades.
An ebullition of animosity toward establishment Republicans has crystalized in the Cornyn-Paxton showdown, which shows the senator trailing his rival 37% to 42% in a new poll of 515 likely Republican voters. Echelon Insights reported that 21% of likely primary voters remain undecided in the contest.
President Donald Trump, who has gone underwater even in deep red states since riding high in polls at the start of the year, maintains a sterling 88% approval rating among poll respondents, underscoring how conservative Texas’ Republican base has become during his second term. Cornyn now finds himself out of step after winning his 2020 primary with 76% of the vote.
Unlike Cornyn’s last challengers, Paxton has won statewide office three times and is without a doubt the most formidable Republican opponent to challenge him in decades.
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It is still a close race with a high number of undecided voters. I like both candidates and am undecided at this point.
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