Who is in control of Wagner forces in Russia, Belarus?

ISW:

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The Kremlin may intend to assume formal control over the Wagner Group following its armed rebellion and turn it into a state-owned enterprise, although it is not clear if the Kremlin has committed itself to such a course of action. The Wall Street Journal reported that Russian authorities decided to assume control over Wagner’s activities abroad.[7] Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Vershinin reportedly flew to Damascus to tell Syrian President Bashar al-Assad that Wagner will no longer operate as an independent organization in Syria and that Wagner personnel reported to the Russian military base in Latakia. Russian Foreign Ministry representatives also reportedly told Central African Republic President Faustin-Archange Touadera and Malian leadership that Wagner will continue operations in their respective countries.[8] Putin claimed on June 27 that the Kremlin “fully funds” and “fully supplies” Wagner, and Russian officials may use Wagner’s existing status as a state-financed and -supplied organization to complete its formal nationalization.[9]The nationalization of Wagner would likely aid in the Russian Ministry of Defense’s (MoD) effort to subsume existing Wagner personnel into the regular Russian Armed Forces through contracts. The nationalization of Wagner would not likely dramatically disrupt its foreign activities, and the Kremlin may be interested in assuming de jure responsibility for Wagner's operations abroad to deprive the group of a remaining source of influence and independent cash flow. ISW has previously assessed that the agreement brokered by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko will very likely eliminate Wagner as the independent actor that it is in its current form but could allow elements of the organization to endure.[10] The Kremlin has not indicated that it intends to nationalize Wagner, and it is possible that Putin has yet to determine what course of action to take in subordinating the group more firmly under the Kremlin’s control.

Recent satellite imagery may have detected active construction of a speculated new Wagner Group base in Asipovichy, Belarus. Mid-resolution imagery collected between June 15 and 27 shows new activity at an abandoned Belarusian military base (formerly used by the Belarusian 465th Missile Brigade) 15km northwest of Asipovichy.[11] This activity could be construction for a rumored new Wagner Group base. This site is within 15km of a large Belarusian combined arms training ground — a facility that Wagner Group personnel would need to access to service the Belarusian military in a training and advisory role that Belarusian officials have suggested Wagner will fulfill.[12] Russian opposition outlet Verstka previously reported on June 26 that Belarusian authorities are constructing a base for 8,000 Wagner Group fighters near Asipovichy.[13]Polish Deputy PM Jaroslaw Kaczynski stated that Poland anticipates that around 8,000 Wagner Group fighters will deploy to Belarus.[14] Further study of this area of interest with higher resolution collection instruments may provide additional clarity on the nature of the activity in the area and the size of the force that may be based there.

Wagner Group personnel may deploy elsewhere in Belarus, however. There is nothing particularly unique or interesting about a potential Wagner Group base in Asipovichy. Verstka’s original report indicated that the Wagner Group would have multiple camps in Belarus. Belarus hosts many training grounds and field camps that accommodated 30,000 Russian soldiers in early 2022 — many of which were on the border with Ukraine in Gomel and Brest oblasts.[15] The Wagner Group in Belarus could use some of these facilities as bases as well as or instead of the rumored base in Asipovichy.
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Russia's attempt to coopt the remains of the Wagner Group suggests they need to do so because of their own manpower shortages caused by their losses in the Ukraine war. Russian offensive operations in the early days of the war in Ukraine were plagued by high casualties and poor operations.  The Russians have been somewhat more effective in going on the defensive, however, they are still losing ground to the Ukraine forces.  Belarus has become a handy fallback position to regroup what is left of the Wagner troops and try to integrate them into the Russian military. 

See, also:

Wagner's chaotic attempt at armed rebellion is starting to (kind of) make sense

What the hell just happened?

That's the question anybody following the chaotic attempt by the Wagner mercenary group to stage a rebellion in Russia last weekend probably asked themselves.

In a messy blur, as many as 25,000 men led by Yevgeny Prigozhin upped sticks from their bases and turned their guns on the motherland.

They took the militarily crucial city of Rostov-on-Don with hardly a shot fired, then stormed up the highway towards Moscow, taking down planes and helicopters sent by the Russian army for good measure.

And then — they turned around and gave up? Prigozhin bailed on his plan, sent everyone home, and headed off to some kind of retirement in Belarus.

According to the Kremlin's official narrative, the catalyst for the climbdown was an intervention by Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko.
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Yesterday, The New York Times fleshed out an idea widely held by Russia-watchers: that Prigozhin hoped the regular Russian army would rise up alongside him.

The soldiers wouldn't need to look far for a motive: widespread hatred for defense minister Sergei Shoigu and army chief of staff Valery Gerasimov.

Per The Times, a senior Russian general with a notable grudge against the two in particular may have been in on the plot.
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Russian leadership at all levels appears to be a mess at this point.  While some would like to lead an uprising they do not appear organized enough to pull it off. Those opposing such an operation do not appear to be much more organized either.

And:

Pictured: Russia builds dam to flood key southern counter-offensive target

Russia has built a makeshift dam to cause flooding and slow any advances in southern Ukraine ahead of Kyiv’s long-awaited counter-offensive, according to a new report.

Satellite imagery analysed by investigators at Bellingcat showed the barrier had been constructed as part of Moscow’s multi-layered defences around the city of Tokmak, in the Zaporizhzhia region.

Since the barrier was constructed out of sand in early May, the Tokmachka river has significantly widened to the east of the city. The imagery shows nearby fields becoming new obstacles in the last month as they were flooded by the rising water.

The move is seen as part of an effort to use water to create potential stumbling blocks to stall Ukraine’s counter-offensive by mimicking the so-called “rasputitsa” mud season during the summer months.
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And:

 Ukrainian soldier says several Russian snipers failed to hit him even after he was wounded because 'they kind of sucked'

And:

 Ukrainian soldiers say they owe lives to US-supplied Bradley vehicles

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"We were hit multiple times," Andriy, who drove one Bradley, said. "Thanks to it, I am standing here now. If we were using some Soviet armored personnel carrier we would all probably be dead after the first hit. It's a perfect vehicle."
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And:

 Border guards show how they blow up Russian ammunition near Bakhmut

And:

 Ukrainian forces advance 1,300 metres on Berdiansk front