The left in this country is spreading undue panic because of a virus that is dangerous to a small fraction of people
Dr. Scott Atlas:
I am not a medical doctor, but I am a retired lawyer who can look at risk factors and act accordingly. The Henny Pennys of the left should be ignored.
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The tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic appears to be entering the containment phase. Tens of thousands of Americans have died, and Americans are now desperate for sensible policymakers who have the courage to ignore the panic and rely on facts. Leaders must examine accumulated data to see what has actually happened, rather than keep emphasizing hypothetical projections; combine that empirical evidence with fundamental principles of biology established for decades; and then thoughtfully restore the country to function.I agree with this analyst of the facts. The focus should be on protecting the vulnerable while allowing the rest of the population to get on with their life. Those who suggest that allowing people to go back to work is the equivalent of having "blood on their hands" should not be allowed to take counsel of their fears and impose them on everyone.
Five key facts are being ignored by those calling for continuing the near-total lockdown.
Fact 1: The overwhelming majority of people do not have any significant risk of dying from COVID-19.
The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent, a risk far lower than previous World Health Organization estimates that were 20 to 30 times higher and that motivated isolation policies.
In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 11 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that. For people under 18 years old, the rate of death is zero per 100,000.
Of all fatal cases in New York state, two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent, had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age. And young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.
Fact 2: Protecting older, at-risk people eliminates hospital overcrowding.
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Fact 3: Vital population immunity is prevented by total isolation policies, prolonging the problem.
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Fact 4: People are dying because other medical care is not getting done due to hypothetical projections.
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Fact 5: We have a clearly defined population at risk who can be protected with targeted measures.
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I am not a medical doctor, but I am a retired lawyer who can look at risk factors and act accordingly. The Henny Pennys of the left should be ignored.
See also:
There is no empirical evidence for these lockdowns
Comparing US states shows there is no relationship between lockdowns and lower Covid-19 deaths.
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