US Arrow missile defense effective against Iran attacks in Israel
Israel learned from the 2024 attacks. During the 12-day war in June, Israel focused on taking out Iranian missile launchers, and it appears many of them were destroyed in the war.
Last Thursday, the Defense Ministry announced that it had signed a contract to accelerate the acquisition of Arrow interceptors.
The ministry said in a statement that the Arrow system, which was developed and manufactured in cooperation with the US Missile Defense Agency, “demonstrated significant interception capabilities during the Israel-Hamas War, especially during Operation Rising Lion.”
Deciding to acquire more of the interceptors would seem obvious. However, this is part of the much larger series of lessons learned in the recent 12-day war with Iran.
A month after Operation Rising Lion, what are the technological lessons that were learned? What should Israel expect in a future war with Iran?
The Islamic Republic launched an estimated 550 ballistic missiles at Israel between June 13 and June 24. Most of the launches took place in the early days of the war.
Iran was caught by surprise by the Israeli attack. It appears that it struggled to keep up a volume of missile fire in the 12-day war. This is in contrast to the two attacks that Iran carried out on Israel in 2024.
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Of more interest is the fact that around 99% of the Iranian drone threat was intercepted, or failed to reach Israel. In warfare, it is very rare to get to a 99% figure. For instance, for Iron Dome interceptions, the percentage is usually assumed to be in the 90s, but not near the 100% mark.
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Israel is demonstrating a technical superiority in defending against Iranian attacks. It is also able to attack Iran with superior weapons. The US Arrow system is proving its worth in this fight. While Iran is a much larger country, Israel appears to be up to the challenge. The Iranian drones were not up to the challenge of the Israeli defense.
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And:
What does it mean IDF’s laser will be fully deployed within four months?
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These lasers can shoot down threatening projectiles much faster and earlier in their trajectory, because a laser moves basically at the speed of light. They can also fire multiple laser beams at once to provide wider defense coverage than one defensive shot by Iron Dome.
How motivated will a Hamas or Hezbollah terrorist be to keep firing rockets when he sees the rocket shot down just over his head shortly after it leaves its launcher and long before it gets into any position of being able to be a threat?
Israel’s enemies have known that 85%-95% of their short-range rockets would be shot down by Iron Dome. But they also knew some would get through, and they got to watch their rockets sail off into the distance, with the moment they were shot down usually being too far off for them to see.
This change of hitting the threatening rocket or drone much earlier in their trajectory could also extraordinarily change life on the home front.
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