New York and New Jersey lost $140 billion in income in just one decade.
Call it moving van economics — and New York and New Jersey are the losers.
A new analysis from my organization, Unleash Prosperity, of the latest census and income tax data finds these two states have lost more residents over the past decade than any other state not named California.
These are giant population losses from two of America’s leading industrial and financial centers throughout the 20th century.
These New York and New Jersey refugees have mostly relocated to the new powerhouse states like Florida, Texas and Tennessee. These moving vans explains why the Southeast is now, for the first time ever, the economically dominant region in the country.
Even more problematic for New York and New Jersey is that the movers are taking a lot of personal income and purchasing power with them. From 2012 to 2022, New York has lost $111 billion in income while Jersey is down by more than $31 billion.
Because the income is lost forever — except for the rare cases when the exiles move back — these income losses accumulate year after year.
Unleash ProsperityWhy are so many people leaving the Northeast?
A myriad of reasons — crime, cost of living, better job opportunities, warmer weather and, yes, to save money on taxes.
New York, New Jersey and California are the three biggest losers in the interstate migration sweepstakes, and they just happen to be the states with the highest state-local income tax add-ons. The big winner states like Florida and Texas have no income tax at all. ...
They are not only losing population and income to Florida and Texas, but I think Florida and Texas are also gaining businesses. The three loser states are plagued by government greed that imposes high taxes on both businesses and workers. Add the fact that Florida and Texas have milder winter weather, and it makes the move more comfortable.
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