Rumors of war in Korea

Business Insider:
The US is preparing to attack North Korea, according to Geopolitical Futures founder George Friedman — setting the stage for a difficult, messy war with potentially catastrophic consequences.

Speaking Monday to a rapt audience at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference in Orlando, Friedman said that while it was unlikely the US would take action before President Donald Trump returns home at the weekend, North Korea's actions appeared to have "offered the US no alternative" to a clash.

According to Geopolitical Futures analysis, evidence is mounting that the enmity between the two is escalating to a point where war is inevitable.

Friedman said that on May 20, the USS Carl Vinson supercarrier and USS Ronald Reagan were both within striking distance of North Korea.

Additionally, more than 100 F-16 aircraft are conducting daily exercises in the area, a tactic that foreshadowed the beginning of Desert Storm in 1991.

F-35 aircraft have also been deployed to the area, and US government representatives are expected to brief Guam on civil defense, terrorism, and Korea on May 31.

All of these strategic moves telegraph one outcome — conflict.
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Friedman also called attention to Andersen Air Force Base in Guam, saying that a North Korean attack on the base would be Kim Jong Un's only chance at delaying the war.

Pointedly branding the North Korean elites "neither crazy nor stupid," Friedman said they had "homicidal, but not suicidal tendencies."

"We are facing a war that is not simple," he said, adding that Russia and China were both washing their hands of the matter.
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In fact, most wars are complex because they involve humans who can react in different ways while under attack.  It is very different from building things using material that does not fight back.

The movement of the aircraft carriers and warplanes probably overstates the possibility of war.  If there is war with North Korea the weapons used against it in the early hours of the war will not be those discussed in this piece.

Nuclear submarines and destroyer will launch Tomahawk missiles at the North Korea to knock out much of their anti-aircraft capabilities as well as artillery positions that threaten Seoul.  B-2 stealth bombers will drop huge ground penetrating bombs targeting missiles and other dug in positions.

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