Of course the polls are skewed

Jay Costs:

Morning Jay: Are the Polls Tilted Toward Obama?

He goes through several elections since 1972 to show how wildly optimistic the polls are about Democrat turnout.  I would have also factored in the 2010 off year election as the most recent data point and in that the Democrats where shellacked as the President said.   The polls that show Obama with a big lead have the big Democrat skew.  Why these pollsters think Democrats are stronger when Obama has been such a failure is not explained, but I think it reflects the same kind of anti conservative bias that led them astray in 2010.