Cruz takes lead in Texas Senate runoff

PPP:
PPP's first poll of the Texas Senate runoff finds Ted Cruz with a surprising 49-44 lead and a much more enthusiastic cadre of supporters than former front runner David Dewhurst.
Cruz's lead expands to a whooping 59-36 margin over Dewhurst among voters who describe themselves as 'very excited' about voting in the election. The lower turnout is, the better Cruz's chances will be. Dewhurst leads 51-43 with 'somewhat excited' voters and 50-36 with those who say they are 'not that excited.' The big question is whether those less enthused folks will actually bother to turn out or not.
This race is one of the most stark examples of the Tea Party movement propelling a candidate that we've seen to date. 40% of voters identify themselves as members of that movement and Cruz has a 71-26 advantage with them. Dewhurst leads 57-34 with non-Tea Partiers, and they are 50% of the electorate, but it's not nearly enough to drown out Cruz's advantage with that group.
Texas is also an exceptionally rare state where Hispanic voters might be the difference maker in a Republican primary. Cruz has a 78-19 advantage with them. Other groups that give Cruz large leads are men (55-38), folks describing themselves as 'very conservative' (61-34), Evangelicals (50-42), and middle aged voters (54-40). 
... 
If this polling holds up it marks an epic failure of Dewhurst's China smear against Cruz.  Cruz internal polling shows him with a larger advantage.  Enthusiasm is the key in a runoff election and Cruz appears to have the advantage in that department.  He has moved into the lead while Dewhurst has been bombarding eh airwaves with what many see as an unfair attack on Cruz about some legal work his law firm is handling.  In the meantime Cruz has been working the grass roots attending gatherings that Dewhurst has snubbed.  That strategy appears to be paying off.  Cruz should have his own ads up in a week or so.  If he comes with a positive message, I think it will be a winner.

Another independent poll gives Cruz a 47-38 lead.  Dewhurst supporters claim their own polls show the Lt. Gov. with a lead.

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