Texas could get 4 new house seats after 2010

The Hill:

Texas could gain four House seats next year, while 10 states in the Northeast and Midwest could lose one or more, according to one private firm's early look at population data.

An independent analysis of early Census Bureau numbers, released Wednesday by Polidata LLC, predicts Southern states stand to gain a handful of seats at the expense of contracting congressional districts in other parts of the country.

...

According to Polidata, Texas stands to gain the most, as it could grow from 32 House seats this year to 36 in subsequent elections. Ohio, meanwhile, is likely to lose the most, possibly shedding two seats to become a 16-member House delegation, the firm predicts.

Nine states, all but one of which are located in the Northeast or Midwest — Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania — could each lose one seat next year, according to the firm.

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All but one of the states gaining seats trend Republican. Louisiana is one of the few southern states losing a seat. I think many of those voters moved to the Houston area or other parts of Texas.

It will be important for Republicans to control the legislature in 2010 so they can keep the Democrats from jury rigging the districts as they did in the 1990s. Overall the Republicans have a chance to gain as many as 15 new seats that when added to the landslide they are likely to get in the 2010 election should put them back in control of the House.

The Houston Chronicle has more on the Texas growth.

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There are 478,000 more people in the Lone Star State than a year ago — roughly the equivalent of packing up all of Fresno, Calif., and moving it here.

Why the growth? Try looking for work in Fresno.

...


The rest of the country should be taking lessons from Texas. I think these new figures also benefit the Perry campaign to some extent. It certainly makes it harder to make the case that Perry is a screw up which seems to be the theme of his opponents especially on the left.

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