Democrats need rural voters, but still attack Walmart

Ron Brownstein:

Capturing a Senate majority is within the Democrats' reach, but the party is facing potentially decisive resistance from rural voters in three critical Republican-leaning states, a series of Times/Bloomberg polls has found.

If Democrats can't break through on Nov. 7 to win the Senate races in at least two of those three states — Missouri, Tennessee and Virginia — they are unlikely to control the chamber.

The surveys show Democratic candidates leading in hotly contested races for Republican-held seats in Virginia and Ohio. Republicans, however, lead in races for the GOP-held seats in Missouri and Tennessee. In a fifth state polled, New Jersey, the Democratic candidate holds a slim advantage as Republicans press their strongest bid to gain a Democratic seat.

Underscoring the midterm election's volatility, the survey results in all of these contests fall within the margin of error for the polling, which means they are too close to call.

The Democrats need a net gain of six seats to win a Senate majority. Polls in the other key Senate races show Democratic challengers holding consistent — though in some cases narrow — leads against GOP incumbents in Pennsylvania, Rhode Island and Montana.

If Democrats captured those three seats, won Ohio and held New Jersey, Senate control would hinge on the outcomes in Missouri, Tennessee and Virginia.

...
Brownstein may have the only poll that gives Webb a lead over Allen in Virginia. Most have shown Allen pulling a way recently. However his concern about the rural areas is good news for Republicans because rural voters have a lot of reasons to vote against Democrats. The can see them everytime they buy something at Walmart, because the Democrats want to lower their standard of living by making things cost more at Walmart. Brownstein lives in LA so he probably is not in touch with rural America and how important Walmart has been to raising its standard of living.

If Missouri, Tennessee and Virginia are the key to the Senate, I think the Republicans do not have to worry about changing their offices space. Less than two weeks out, the Republican candidates appear to be winning all three states. Missouri is always close, but it has generally given the Republicans the edge. A Democrat win in Tennessee would be an upset for a state that rejected AlGore. Despite the Washington Post's grossly unfair coverage of the Senate race in Virginia, it looks like Allen will prevail.

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