GOP likely to grow Senate majority in 2026

 The Hill:

Democrats are stumbling out of the gate ahead of the Senate elections in 2026, with early retirements stacking the odds against them in the battle for a majority they lost in November’s elections.

New Hampshire Sen. Jeanne Shaheen on Wednesday became the third Democratic incumbent to announce she would not seek reelection in 2026, following Minnesota Sen. Tina Smith and Michigan Sen. Gary Peters.

Democrats could hold the Senate seats in all three states in 2026, as the party out of the White House historically gained ground in the first midterm election of a president’s term.

But it will certainly be more of an uphill climb without the three incumbents.

Democrats also lost a major recruit for the Michigan race when former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg said he would not run for the Senate.

The end result is a map Republicans see as ripe with opportunities, and one where Democrats will be playing some defense.

In addition to defending seats in Michigan, Minnesota and New Hampshire, Democrats will be hoping that Sen. Jon Ossoff can win a second term in Georgia, a state President Trump won in 2024.
...

They are hopeful they can go on offense in Maine, a state President Biden won in 2024 where GOP Sen. Susan Collins faces reelection; and North Carolina, where GOP Sen. Thom Tillis is seen as vulnerable.

And they also think that political fortunes will turn on the GOP and Trump.
...

Currently, the support for the Democrats is at an all-time low which makes it unlikely that they can retake the majority in either the House or the Senate.  They need more than their Trump hatred to draw voter support.  At this point, I don't see the Democrats winning in Maine or North Carolina.  I suspect that Georgia will also return to its GOP roots.

See also:

Trump ties for highest approval he’s ever had — as more Americans say US is on right track than any time in 20 years: poll

And:

 Democrats Hit Rock Bottom as Internal Numbers Reveal Total Collapse

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