Natural gas exports expected to spike US prices
Domestic energy prices would sharply increase if the U.S. conducts unrestricted exports of liquefied natural gas (LNG), the Department of Energy said in a long-awaited report released Tuesday.
The report comes nearly a year after the Biden administration announced a pause on new LNG exports, which surged after Russia invaded Ukraine and set off a scramble for other sources of European energy. The department announced the pause as part of an effort to determine the economic and environmental effects of exports.
The report determined that unregulated exports could lead to a spike of up to 30 percent in wholesale natural gas costs while also creating an extra 1.5 gigatons a year of greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
“To date, U.S. consumers and businesses have benefited from relatively stable natural gas prices domestically as compared to those in other parts of the world who have faced far greater price volatility,” Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said in a statement. “[But] the more volumes of U.S. LNG are exported, the greater the risk of this global price volatility being imported into our domestic market and impacting U.S. consumers and manufacturers.”
The pause did not affect existing export approvals, which are currently sufficient to generate about 15 billion cubic feet a day.
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I think it would depend on whether the government allowed more wells in sites they control, such as offshore. It is my understanding that there is really no shortage of drilling sites; however, some administrations allow more drilling than others. That is why gas was cheaper when Trump was in office. Biden began his administration by throttling back some drilling sites in government-controlled areas. I am pretty sure that Trump will allow more drilling. That would produce more money for the government and also reduce the price to consumers.
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