Dramatic movement to right in Pennsylvania
When Ken Miller changed his party registration from Democrat to Republican in September 2020, he said he wasn’t doing it for Donald Trump. He had not voted for Trump or Hillary Clinton in 2016. Rather, he said, he was doing it for himself and his community after watching Democrats govern during the pandemic.
“I am tired of what I am seeing," he said. Democrats appeared to ignore people like Miller, viewing his vote as replaceable by someone in their theoretical ascendant Democratic coalition of young people, women, intellectuals, and nonwhite voters. But the thinkers in Washington may have been too clever by half.
Without working-class voters — white, black, and Hispanic — one cannot form a coalition to win elections. This applies not just to the White House but also to congressional and state-level races. In fact, if Democrats abandon workers for the professional class, they won't even be able to hold school boards and county row offices in many places.
In September 2020, Cambria County Democrats became a minority party without much fanfare. The Pennsylvania Department of State registration numbers showed Republicans with 37,951 registrations and Democrats with just 37,826. Since that milestone, the bleeding has continued, with Democrats decreasing by nearly 3,000 voters to 35,037, while Republicans have risen to 41,128.
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The biggest problem is that both Washington Democrats and the press seem to have no idea who comprises the Democrats' base anymore. “Some base Democrats see Obama as too conservative, and the working-class Democrats see him as too liberal," one Democratic strategist remarked. "The appeal he would have would be with suburban-mom voters, but even that’s a stretch given how they feel about education.”
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They are on the wrong side with voters who would traditionally consider them for a state legislative race, U.S. Senate race, or congressional race. Voters are angry at Democrats on inflation, gas prices, the border and how the problem eventually hits their neighborhoods and suburbs in the form of fentanyl and meth addictions, the out-of-control crime, education control, and the lingering impressions after the chaotic and deadly withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Yet to this day, their messages are about climate change and Trump — it's as though they have never left Washington to see what is really upsetting voters.
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It is a strange message since Trump is clearly more popular than Biden with most voters and climate change is overrated as an issue with most sane voters. There has been an unbroken record of failed predictions of gloom and doom for the last 50 years. The poles are still not ice-free and coastal cities are still not underwater.
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