The flawed track record of expert response to Covid

 Legal Insurrection:

Throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, experts have assured worried populations that their policies would contain the virus, prevent infections, and save lives. After two weeks of shutting down the country and sealing ourselves off, we would “flatten the curve” and then proceed with our lives as normal.

As we round out the second year of the “two weeks,” I also recall that Biden’s COVID advisor Dr. Anthony Facui assured us that once we hit 70% vaccination rates, we would no longer see surges in coronavirus cases.

NIAID director Anthony Fauci told the Washington Post leadership summit Thursday that if 70% of Americans get at least one dose of the coronavirus vaccine by July 4, the U.S. could avoid a case surge later in the year. Fauci called the COVID-19 vaccine a “positive wild card” that wasn’t present in the previous case upticks, but urged the U.S. to continue aggressively vaccinating its population.

Yet here we are with Omicron surges and chatter about amending the definition of “fully vaccinated” to include a booster.

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One of the advantages about living through this pandemic is that we have the ability to see scientific “experts” fail in their projections in real time. We have also observed politically connected bureaucrats stifle robust and essential scientific debate, as they colluded with the media to silence well qualified opposition to the latest pet theories and policies.

For example, Dr. Francis Collins, then director of the National Institutes of Health, sent an email to Facui concerned about the Great Barrington Declaration, a statement developed by Harvard’s Martin Kulldorff, Oxford’s Sunetra Gupta and Stanford’s Jay Bhattacharya against blanket pandemic lockdowns.

The two organized a media smear campaign to paint these scientists as “fringe”.

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So if these manipulations are being done to biological science, it would be reasonable to assume they are also occurring with climate science. The challenge is that we can see the infectious disease “experts” fail in the course of a few months, versus the decades it takes for poor climate change predictions to unfold.

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The climate change crowd has also been serially wrong in its projections.  They tend to make their projections for 10 years out and they have been doing it for at least 50 years, and yet the poles are still not ice-free and New York City is still not underwater.