Trump out polls Biden in three way and two way race
Former President Donald Trump would prevail in a three-way race against President Joe Biden and Robert Kennedy, Jr., running as an independent, according to the latest Harvard-Harris poll taken Oct. 18 to Oct. 19.
Trump leads with 39 percent to Biden’s 33 percent and Kennedy’s 19 percent, and 9 percent unsure. When those who are uncertain are removed from the poll, it becomes Trump with 42 percent, Biden with 36 percent, and Kennedy with 22 percent.
With leaners, Trump garners 9 percent of Democrats, 80 percent of Republicans, and 37 percent of independents.
Biden gets 69 percent of Democrats, 5 percent of Republicans, and just 28 percent of independents.
Kennedy garnered 22 percent of Democrats, 15 percent of Republicans, and 35 percent of independents.
All told, Biden is losing independents in the three-way race 72 percent to 28 percent. That’s pathetic.
Kennedy, who had been running as a Democrat until recently, has opted to run as an independent, claiming that as an independent, he would pull more from Biden than he does Trump.
In a hypothetical two-way race, Biden only improves marginally, still losing to Trump 52 percent to 48 percent with leaners. In that scenario, Trump gets 15 percent of Democrats, 92 percent of Republicans, and 54 percent of independents. And Biden gets 85 percent of Democrats, 8 percent of Republicans, and 46 percent of independents.
That means, without Kennedy in the race, Trump picked up 10 points, and Biden picked up 12 points. And even then, Trump is still leading.
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Liberals may be surprised at this result, but I am not. Trump was clearly a better president than Biden on both domestic and foreign policy issues. The media may hate him, but there are enough the voters who do not hate him to put him ahead.
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