Russia continues to incur heavy losses of men and equipment in failed attacks
Russia is taking heavy losses as it pushes hard to take the Ukrainian village of Avdiivka — illustrating in the process that it isn't learning from previous defeats, an analyst said.
Riley Bailey, who works at the Institute for the Study of War, told Insider that Russia's attempts to attack Avdiivka are going badly because it has failed to adapt since its full-scale invasion in February 2022.
"The kind of chaotic mechanized assaults that we're seeing around right now, these very disorderly armored columns of armored vehicles of stopping and getting struck by Ukrainian forces, that's very reminiscent of a lot of the assaults that we saw on the Russian side at the start of the full-scale invasion," Bailey said.
Western observers have remarked on large Russian losses around Avdiivka, where Russia has failed to make significant advances despite committing large numbers of troops and vehicles.
Bailey pointed to Russia's efforts in Vuhledar, another town nearby, where Russian attacks ended in defeat and huge tank losses earlier this year.
That should have prompted a new approach, but instead Russia hasn't "learned a lesson about how to properly conduct mechanized maneuver warfare," he said.
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Ukraine said Russia lost more than 6,000 soldiers and more than 400 armored vehicles and tanks in one week, though it isn't possible to verify its figures.
US and other Western officials have sometimes given more modest assessments of the damage Ukraine has been able to inflict on Russia.
Ukrainian units have shared footage of intense fighting and destroyed Russian vehicles.
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The UK MOD said on Sunday that Russia's assaults at Avdiivka "have contributed to a 90% increase in Russian casualties," citing Ukraine's own figures.
Ukraine said on Friday that Russia lost almost 50 tanks in a day there.
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Russia's war in Ukraine continues to be a disaster that Putin continues to push. It has exposed Russia's military weakness in both manpower and equipment, not to mention its failed tactics and strategy. It also appears incapable of reassessing its operations and stepping back.
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