Al Qaeda on the run in Iraq

AP/NY Times:

The U.S. military claimed an advantage in the fight against al-Qaida in Iraq on Thursday, saying raids since the death of its leader have forced many of its foreign fighters out into the open to be captured or killed.

...

Maj. Gen. William Caldwell, spokesman for U.S. forces in Iraqi, acknowledged Iraqi civilians were suffering most from the insurgency, accounting for 70 percent of all deaths and injuries, while he said the number of U.S. casualties did not appear to be on the rise.

But he said the Americans gained momentum in its fight against al-Qaida in Iraq after killing Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, and have devoted a lot of resources to targeting his successor as leader, Abu Ayyub al-Masri.

''There is no question, if we can take him down, that will just disrupt the organization ... to the point where it would be ineffective for a long period of time,'' Caldwell said. ''It is very disorganized right now. And it is very disrupted right now.''

He said coalition and Iraqi security forces had captured or killed 57 foreign fighters this month.

''The reason we were able to pick up and track some of these mid-level people ... in the last few weeks is because they've been forced to conduct meetings, to get out and be more visible, because their system has been so disrupted,'' he said. ''And that has given us the opportunities to find them, track them and go get them.''

On Wednesday, Iraqi authorities said they had captured an al-Qaida suspect from Tunisia who allegedly bombed a Shiite shrine earlier this year, setting off a spasm of violence between Sunnis and Shiites.

Caldwell said Yousri Fakher Mohammed Ali, also known as Abu Qudama, was captured May 20 after he was seriously wounded in a clash with security forces north of Baghdad. Haitham Sabah Shaker Mohammed al-Badri, the alleged Iraqi mastermind of the Feb. 22 attack on the shrine in Samarra, remains at large.

...

It appears that the US is still in the exploitation phase after knocking off Zarqawi. One of the most interesting aspects of this story is the confirmation of my point on how keeping the insurgents on the move and off balance makes it more difficult for them to operate without detection. Their having to call meetings because they cannot use normal communications for fear of discovery has disturbed their command and control to the point where the meetings also risk detection. All of this is enhanced by raising the force to space ratio and bringing the Iraqi troops on line. This has increased the communication with the population as a whole leading to better intelligence on the enemy. Every new kill or capture leads to a further unraveling of the al Qaeda network.