The failure of al Qaeda's latest strategy

In late February the US intercepted a message from bin Laden to Zarqawi telling him it was time to start attacking outside of Iraq. It is reasonable to suggest that the bombings in London and Egypt were a result of that message. At the time, many analyst thought it was an order to attack in the US. Apparently that is beyond the capability of al Qaeda at this time, so they attacked in areas where they have substantial followers.

The attcks have clearly backfired. They have no resulted in taking pressure off of al Qaeda's forces in Iraq, and have instead reduced political pressure on US and UK forces in Iraq. Yahoo's News site no longer list Iraq under its "Full Coverage" menu.

The attacks have also resulted in the loss of al Qaeda assets in the UK and Egypt, while at the same time increasing political and police pressure on al Qaeda supporters. It has also resulted in greater legal and political pressure on al Qaeda supporters in Pakistan where its operations appear to be based at this time. Pakistan is kicking the foreigners out of its Madrassas and has arrested many radical leaders. This further cuts al Qaeda's ability to communicate with its followers and excecute missions.

While al Qaeda continues to lose on all fronts, there are still many leftist in the US who do want to lose in Iraq. That is what al Qaeda is counting on at this point. If the leftist were in charge in the US or the UK the Mogudishu strategy would be working. Since they are not, al Qaeda and the leftist are both frustrated.

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