GOP favored to win House and Senate
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My take is that Silver’s model has probably caught up to where reality was about 10 days ago. That makes a certain sense because he’s relying on polling which was done a week or two weeks or more ago. But I think where we actually are now is probably a bit better for the GOP in the Senate. Not a huge advantage but definitely an edge with less nearly a week still to go.
Is there any reason to think the GOP momentum will stall or reverse in the last six days? I don’t think so. Democrats are doing their best to shift gears from talking about abortion nonstop to talking about Social Security but it feels a little late to get that message out now. As for control of the House, that’s a done deal.
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This is happening despite having big media and social media platforms backing of the Dems.
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