Arizona poll shows Kari Lake leading

 PJ Media:

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A new poll from The Trafalgar Group in collaboration with The Daily Wire shows that Republicans are not only very close to keeping Arizona’s governor’s seat but might also oust Democrat Sen. Mark Kelly.

The poll has Republican gubernatorial candidate Kari Lake leading her Democratic opponent, Arizona Secretary of State Katie Hobbs 49.2% to 46.4%, which is within the margin of error. Still, Lake has led in the RealClearPolitics average since mid-September, and her chances look very good. Hobbs has come under fire for being afraid to debate Lake, and Lake has shown remarkable prowess in handling a hostile media. Former Democrat Rep. Tulsi Gabbard also endorsed her, which is bound to help her appeal with independents and maybe even some Democrats who feel their party has become too extreme.
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But one race that didn’t look as promising was Republican Blake Masters’ campaign to oust Sen. Mark Kelly. Throughout the campaign, Masters has trailed Kelly, but the polls have tightened, and the Trafalgar Group/Daily Wire poll shows Kelly up only one point. Masters has likely benefited from a solid debate performance with Kelly, in which he effectively tied Kelly to Joe Biden, who is extremely unpopular in the state.
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With the recent history of polls underestimating GOP votes, I suspect both Lake and Masters have a good shot at winning.

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