Nevada turning fire engine red

 Ed Morrissey:

Last week Ruy Teixeira warned that Democrats were facing a problem in Nevada where Catherine Cortez Masto needs to hold on to her seat if Dems are to have any chance of holding the Senate. In particular, polling suggested Democrats were losing ground with an important part of their coalition: Hispanic voters.

A new poll by Suffolk University/USA Today found that both Cortez Masto and Democratic Gov. Steve Sisolak are in trouble. Both are running behind Republican challengers in head to head matchups thanks to inflation and Joe Biden’s rock bottom approval rating in the state.

The early April survey of 500 likely midterm election voters counts among the first to show how far U.S. Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. Steve Sisolak might sink under the weight of rising gas prices and inflation.

The latter issue, respondents said, was by far the most important on their minds, followed by jobs and the state of the economy. Only 35% of those polled approved of President Joe Biden’s job performance — 6 percentage points below the first-term Democrat’s already dismal nationwide approval rating…

Masto lost both of the survey’s head-to-head challenges against Republican favorites Adam Laxalt and Sam Brown, despite heavily outspending them on the campaign trail…

Pollsters painted a similar picture in Sisolak’s race, where the first-term Democrat is underwater against three of five top GOP contenders for his job.

There’s more bad news in the poll for Democrats. About 50% of respondents said the state was headed in the wrong direction which is obviously bad news for incumbents. Here are the head to head match-ups for Masto:

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/1513863823891079177

David Paleologos, the director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, told the Gazette Journal, “when incumbents poll at or below 40% it is much worse, because it is very difficult to convince undecideds to vote for you when they remain undecided despite telling us that they are very interested in voting in this election.” Looking at polling nationally, you’d have to think a lot of those undecided voters are going to break for the GOP eventually.

The match-ups for Gov. Sisolak aren’t much better. He’s also at or below 40% in of these.

...

The Democrats have no shortage of money to campaign with, but they are short of issues that voters are interested in. 

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