Poll says Romney does best against Obama in 2012

GOP Candidates 2012?Image by Truthout.org via Flickr
CBS News:

Out of a handful of potential 2012 Republican presidential candidates, former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney fares the best in a hypothetical match-up against President Obama in a new national Quinnipiac poll of registered voters.

American voters put Romney and Mr. Obama in a statistical dead heat, with Romney leading 45 percent to 44 percent.

Mr. Obama also faces still competition from former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in the poll, with the president leading 46 percent to 44 percent -- also a statistical dead heat.

The president, however, takes a strong lead in a match up against former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, beating her 48 percent to 40 percent. Mr. Obama also trounces Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, who is largely unknown to voters, 45 percent to 36 percent.

While Palin runs worse against Mr. Obama compared to other challengers, she nevertheless comes out on top in a hypothetical Republican primary, Quinnipiac shows.

Given a choice of eight viable Republican candidates, Republican and Republican-leaning voters chose Palin, giving her 19 percent of the vote. Romney comes in second with 18 percent, followed by Huckabee at 17 percent and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at 15 percent. Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty received 6 percent, and Daniels, Mississippi Gov. Haley Barbour and Sen. John Thune of South Dakota all received 2 percent. The poll, conducted November 8 - 15, had a margin of error of 2 percent.

...
The GOP poll seems to be based on name recognition as much as anything. For example Huckabee came from the asterisk category to second place in 2008. Romney probably scores well because of his reputation as a business manager and in dealing with the economy. That is an area where Palin is going to need to comfort people if she is going to get the nomination.

The Washington Times points out that 49 percent say Obama does not deserve reelection and 43 percent say he does.  At this stage this a registered voter poll rather than a likely voter poll.  They tend to overstate Democrat support so it is likely that among likely voters a majority oppose Obama's reelection.
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