Republican leads in Murtha's old district

The Hill:

A new poll has businessman Tim Burns (R) leading former Murtha aide Mark Critz (D) 46-40.

Republicans appear to have a real opportunity to take over the seat of the late Rep. John Murtha's (D-Pa.), as another poll shows their candidate in the lead.

The Research 2000 poll for the liberal website Daily Kos has businessman Tim Burns (R) leading former Murtha aide Mark Critz 46-40. It's the biggest lead yet for Burns, who edged Critz 44-41 in a recent Public Policy Polling (D) survey.

The newer poll backs up several key data points from the PPP poll, particularly how unpopular President Obama is in the district. R2000 has Obama's favorable rating at just 38 percent, with 55 percent unfavorable. And Obama isn't just unpopular: Among those 55 percent, more than half say their opinion of the president is "very unfavorable."

...

Voteres in the district also favor repeal of the health care law. The Democrat oppose repeal. It is also easy to see why Obama has not been asked to campaign in this race. Judging by what has happened in Virginia, New Jersey and Massachusetts when he has campaigned for the Democrats it has not worked out well for them. The election is set for May 18 which is also the date for primary elections.

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