The Dems problem with white men

Ronald Brownstein:

"President Bush's overwhelming strength among white men looms as a central obstacle between Democrats and the White House as 2004 approaches.

"In an election season heavily shaped by terrorism and national security, several recent polls suggest that Bush could dominate white male voters as thoroughly as Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush did during their three successive presidential victories in the 1980s.

" 'Clearly, it is where the Democrats are going to have their biggest difficulty,' said Ruy Teixeira, a public-opinion analyst at the Century Foundation, a liberal think tank.


"White men have given Democrats problems in presidential elections for decades, and 'are trending more Republican over time,' said Stanley B. Greenberg, the pollster for Al Gore in 2000 and Bill Clinton in 1992.

" 'Younger, married white men are disastrously, overwhelmingly Republican,' he said. 'Everything about George Bush speaks to them.'


"A series of recent polls underscore the challenge for Democrats with white men. In an ABC/Washington Post survey released last week, white men preferred Bush over an unnamed Democrat in 2004 by 62 percent to 29 percent, a head-turning 33-point margin; by contrast, white women gave Bush just a 10-point lead."


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