The proof trap
Analysis of prewar intelligence is focusing on the doughnut holes and not the doughnut.
"'Even a cursory review' of charges the U.S. and British administrations made in white papers released before the Iraq war 'shows that point after point that was made was not confirmed during the war or after the first [six] months of effort following the conflict,' Cordesman found in his study, a draft of which he provided to The Washington Post.
"...Cordesman found, the Iraq experience shows that U.S. intelligence is 'not yet adequate to support grand strategy and tactical operations against proliferating powers or to make accurate assessments of the need to preempt.'"
This is where Cordeman falls into the proof trap. What is obvious is that rogues states that are hostile to the US should not play games. It is not a good idea to go pulling on Superman's Cape when he is busy looking for people responsible for murdering a lot of US citizens. In those circumstances the prudent thing for regimes in the axis of evil to do is grovel and open up, so no mistakes will be made. When US citizens are in danger of being murdered by the thousands do not mess around with Uncle Sam. It is not acceptible to take the first blow when it is another sucker punch.
Analysis of prewar intelligence is focusing on the doughnut holes and not the doughnut.
"'Even a cursory review' of charges the U.S. and British administrations made in white papers released before the Iraq war 'shows that point after point that was made was not confirmed during the war or after the first [six] months of effort following the conflict,' Cordesman found in his study, a draft of which he provided to The Washington Post.
"...Cordesman found, the Iraq experience shows that U.S. intelligence is 'not yet adequate to support grand strategy and tactical operations against proliferating powers or to make accurate assessments of the need to preempt.'"
This is where Cordeman falls into the proof trap. What is obvious is that rogues states that are hostile to the US should not play games. It is not a good idea to go pulling on Superman's Cape when he is busy looking for people responsible for murdering a lot of US citizens. In those circumstances the prudent thing for regimes in the axis of evil to do is grovel and open up, so no mistakes will be made. When US citizens are in danger of being murdered by the thousands do not mess around with Uncle Sam. It is not acceptible to take the first blow when it is another sucker punch.
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