Texas Senate poll shows wide open race
Image via WikipediaMost Texas voters haven't decided, but if they voted today, Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst would lead the field for the Republican nomination to replace U.S. Sen. Kay Bailey Hutchison, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll.Democrats do not have a favorite at this point either and most of the names mentioned are retreads who have lost big races in recent years. McCaul is a new name in the race. He is my current Congressman and has done a good job. He could probably raise the money needed for a statewide race.
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Dewhurst, who has not yet declared that he will run, has the support of 27 percent of those polled, and no other Republican broke into double digits. Five other named candidates — Railroad Commissioners Michael Williams (5 percent) and Elizabeth Ames Jones (3 percent), U.S. Rep. Michael McCaul (4 percent), former Texas Solicitor General Ted Cruz (3 percent) and former Texas Secretary of State Roger Williams (2 percent) — were clustered in low single digits. Undecided grabbed the biggest share of the Republican vote: 52 percent.
"It's good news for everybody," says pollster Daron Shaw, a government professor at UT. "If it's Dewhurst, he's ahead. For everybody else, the good news is that no one has become the clear alternative, and 52 percent of the voters are still undecided.
"Not any of these candidates has locked down the kind of support they need to win a Republican primary," he says.
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All of the announced GOP candidates would run a credible race if they can get the financing they need. At this point they have the time to work on the money primary before the real thing starts.
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