Republicans stand to gain more House seats in 2012

Harry Reid (D-NV), United States Senator from ...Image via Wikipedia
David Freddoso:

...

Before Election 2010, Democrats were on pace for a very decent redistricting round. They were going to control the creation of 129 districts — only 7 fewer than they controlled after the 2000 election. Republicans, having won a few legislatures on the last decade, were on track to draw 108 seats on their own, about ten more than they controlled in 2000. Tuesday’s election changed all of that, creating a lopsided redistricting advantage for the GOP.

More important than the absolute numbers of seats is the fact that Democrats were on top in some pretty important states. Democrats can’t gain any seats by gerrymandering Massachusetts (they already hold all of them there), but a bit of re-mapping in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, New York, Iowa and New Mexico can dramatically alter the composition of the U.S. House.

Democrats held all those states, but lost them all on Tuesday. And Republicans gained full control in a few other big ones, like Ohio and Michigan.

...
He has a chart showing the gains and losses at the above link. Texas has solidified its hold on the state legislature since its last redistricting. It is also likely to add four new seats from the 2010 Census. In the recent election it also defeated three Democrat incumbents. We are finally starting to overcome the Democrat gerrymandering of the 1990s.

I also 2012 as a year for more Republican pickups in the Senate since the Democrats are having to defend many more seats and their brand has been damaged by its identity with the Obama agenda. Having Harry Reid return will actually give the Republicans a clear target to run against anyone who will support him as majority leader.
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