Texas Democrat House seats in trouble

Solomon P. OrtizImage via Wikipedia
Jim Gerahty:

As promised, here is a quick update on that May list of 99 open seats or vulnerable Democrats. As you can see, quite a few have been added; we’re now up to 117. (I added one, WA-2, after initial posting.) However, this list includes some races that appeared as potentially competitive earlier and now aren’t, such as Rep. Dan Boren’s reelection bid in Oklahoma.

My current assessment is in line with the conventional wisdom: Roughly 100 seats are in play under the broader definition, and it’s hard to see Republicans winning fewer than 40 of them. The ceiling depends on how angry the country is on November 2, but it is pretty darn high . . . 60? 70? 80?

...

TX-17: An OnMessage, Inc. poll for Bill Flores shows him ahead by 19; a poll for Democrat Chet Edwards shows Flores ahead by 4.

TX-23: An August GOP poll showed incumbent Democrat Ciro Rodriguez trailing challenger Francisco Canseco by 6 points.

TX-27: An OnMessage Inc. poll for Republican Blake Farenthold puts him up by 8 over longtime incumbent Solomon Ortiz.

...
Check the link above for the Democrats in trouble in other states. I have mentioned the Edwards Flores race before and I have probably also mentioned the Ciro Rodriguez is in a very competitive race. I don't thin I have discussed the Ortiz (pictured)  race. I have mentioned that Lloyd Doggett is in a competitive race with Dr. Donna Campbell. A win by Campbell would still be an upset, but for most Texas Democrats it would be a sweet one.
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Comments

  1. Lawrence Person11:16 AM

    Speaking of Ciro Rodriguez, I found a few interesting things poking around his contributors list:

    http://www.battleswarmblog.com/?p=1782

    Chet Edwards is all but gone. I have info on both here:

    http://www.battleswarmblog.com/?p=2300

    I hadn't heard that Ortiz was in trouble, but I'm not surprised; it's that sort of year.

    ReplyDelete

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