This is a race that McCain-Palin can win

Jim Geraghty:

Fascinating stuff in the Battleground Poll's full report out today. Obama leads McCain, 44-42, with 13 percent undecided.

...
There is more on the poll and other races, but the important thing to me is two point difference with the 13 percent undecided. If this poll is accurate, McCain should win because of the way the undecideds have broken against Obama all year.

The polls that are showing Obama with a large lead are skewing results by using a much larger sample of Democrats. Those polls will probably tighten up too as we get closer and they adjust their samples to a more realistic sampling of Republicans.

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