A pollster out of whack in Texas
The New Editor reports on a Texas pollster who skews results toward the Dems by skewing his sample to claim there are more self identified Democrats than Republicans in the state. Even if he flipped his skew, it would still understate Republican strength in Texas.
People who are still Democrat are embarrassed to admit.
As The New Editor points out, Democrats have not won a statewide race in Texas this century. They will not this year either. I expect Republicans to carry Texas by between 55 and 60 percent of the vote in November unless something unusual happens between now and election day. Hat tip Larwyn.
The Houston Chronicle does not mention the problems with the polling methods but does discuss its projection for the governor's race in two years. The poll puts Sen. Kay Baily Hutchison ahead of Gov. Perry. That may be the current snapshot. I am not sure why Perry is perceived unfavorably by many voters. I think he has done an OK job and has not screwed up. I am also not sure why Kay wants the job, but she has certainly been acting like she does. Perhaps they should just switch jobs.
People who are still Democrat are embarrassed to admit.
As The New Editor points out, Democrats have not won a statewide race in Texas this century. They will not this year either. I expect Republicans to carry Texas by between 55 and 60 percent of the vote in November unless something unusual happens between now and election day. Hat tip Larwyn.
The Houston Chronicle does not mention the problems with the polling methods but does discuss its projection for the governor's race in two years. The poll puts Sen. Kay Baily Hutchison ahead of Gov. Perry. That may be the current snapshot. I am not sure why Perry is perceived unfavorably by many voters. I think he has done an OK job and has not screwed up. I am also not sure why Kay wants the job, but she has certainly been acting like she does. Perhaps they should just switch jobs.
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