Outflanking the war critics

Donald Lambro:

There is no doubt Gen. David Petraeus won the politically charged slugfest on Capitol Hill last week when he called for withdrawal of 30,000 troops from Iraq between now and early next year.

He won it on his case that, as bad as things are in Iraq, the troop surge of the last six months has made verifiable progress in key battlegrounds now cleansed of terrorists. And he won it by outflanking the Democrats' demands that we begin now precipitously pulling out all our forces by a specific deadline.

There is also no doubt Democratic war critics and their leftist allies at MoveOn.org suffered some blows and were bleeding, strategically and politically. Before the week was over, they had been decked by a one-two punch. The first delivered by Gen. Petraeus' troop-withdrawal recommendations; the second, by President Bush who quickly embraced them.

In one bold, outflanking maneuver, the Republicans were suddenly on the offensive again and the Democrats were desperately playing defense as best they could. Only this time they were the ones opposing the troop pullout the administration was preparing to begin in the coming weeks.

On the first point, the grounds had clearly been prepared for Gen. Petraeus' case that things were demonstrably better. In the last four weeks, dozens of defense analysts and lawmakers, Democrats and Republicans, have come back from tours of Iraq, praising the improved security situation in Anbar Province and several other areas in the country. Veteran reporters from newspapers that have been severe critics of the war, like the New York Times, have come back with similar assessments.

Gen. Petraeus strode into the House and Senate hearings last week armed with charts detailing the progress made in strategic areas that showed far less sectarian violence and reduced terrorist attacks, owing largely to strategic alliances between U.S./Iraqi forces and Sunni and Shia tribal chiefs who have turned against al Qaeda.

On the second point, he surprised war critics by the size and swiftness of the forthcoming withdrawal. Democrats were left sputtering about his figures and arguing U.S. forces would still number 130,000 troops. But such statistical bean-counting was overwhelmed by the headlines that a preliminary, carefully thought-out troop withdrawal would begin this year.

While the national news media repeatedly highlights the large majorities favoring a troop pullout, it never mentions that these same surveys, like the latest Gallup Poll, also show majorities approaching 70 percent do not want to see a complete withdrawal until U.S. forces establish a "reasonable level of stability and security in Iraq." A New York Times/CBS poll reported last week only 22 percent of Americans surveyed wanted a complete troop pullout within the next year.

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Now, less than four months before the 2008 election year, the debate over the war has changed dramatically. The argument — at least for now — is no longer whether the surge is working. It has worked, and is working.

Suddenly, the Democrats' antiwar cry of "bring the troops home" does not carry the same weight it did before. Instead, they face campaigning in next year's presidential primaries amid news reports of ongoing U.S. troop withdrawals as the Iraqi army grows in experience, size and lethality.

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The Democrats desperately want a withdrawal that looks like a defeat. What Petraeus has proposed is one that looks like victory. That is what has the Democrats upset. But the "Betray Us" as has put them and their main supporter on the defensive politically in a way they never anticipated. It is a self inflicted wound that grows out of their desperation as the evidence of progress of the surge accumulates. The success of the surge demonstrates that they have been wrong for the last nine months and they cannot admit it even to themselves. That puts them in a much more desperate political situation than much of the media is willing to acknowledge. But Rudy Giuliani is staying on offense and is not going to let the public forget who was really trying to Betray Us.