New Jersey in play

John Podhoretz:

POLLS, polls, polls. All you've been hearing is that President Bush's poll numbers are dropping. Yes, they have been, although far less precipitously than the hysterical discussion would warrant.

But then there's this extremely interesting and very significant bit of new polling: In New Jersey, John Kerry and George W. Bush are in a statistical dead heat, with a three-point margin in Kerry's favor. That number tracks with two other recent polls that indicate New Jersey is a state Bush can win.

Why is this significant? First off, it suggests the Bush pounding in the New York media market hasn't killed him — which is good news for Bush not only in the Garden State but nationally as well, because it indicates that his bad press may not be translating into a significant collapse of support.

Second, it means another major state may be in play. And that is dreadful news for Kerry, because New Jersey is supposed to be a state he can depend on.

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