The Dems 'Blue Wall' blues

 Axios:

Top Democratic politicians and operatives tell us the vital states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania are getting tougher for Vice President Harris and the party's Senate candidates.

  • Harris is depending on that Blue Wall to win the White House, even if she struggles in the Sunbelt. On private calls, some top Harris allies are saying they believe the race will come down to Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Why it matters: There's growing worry among Democrats that Harris seems stuck, even sliding a bit, after a strong start to her young presidential campaign. Her media blitz, heavy spending and largely favorable coverage don't seem to be moving the needle much, if at all, these Democrats say.

The big picture: Pennsylvania is arguably the most important state on the map for Harris. Tell us who wins Pennsylvania, and we can tell you who's very likely to be president-elect. Harris, former President Trump and their allies plan to spend $350 million on TV ads in Pennsylvania — $142 million more than the next closest state, Michigan, the N.Y. Times reports.

...

Kamala Harris is just not that good a candidate.   She is having to rely on the Democrat turnout machine and it will likely be struggling in those states this year. It is also likely that their Senate losses there will flip control of the Congress.

See also:

Harris' struggles with Michigan's working-class voters provides opening for Trump, GOP

Unions voters have traditionally supported Democratic candidates

And:

 Democrats Will Have a Stroke if This Polling Data Is True

And:

 Nolte: Slew of Polls Show Trump Has Real Momentum in Swing States

And:

 Montana Senate poll finds Democratic incumbent trailing GOP challenger, with control of Senate in balance

Sen. Joe Manchin's retirement is a major blow to Democrats seeking to hold the Senate

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