Polls question a Biden and Trump run in 2024

 Washington Examiner:

A slew of just-published polls spell bad news for both President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump: The overwhelming majority of people don't want to see either run for president in 2024.

A Tuesday poll from Morning Consult and Politico found that only 29% of over 2,000 respondents thought the president should run for reelection, compared to 64% who said he shouldn't. That comes just days after the New York Times saddled Biden with his lowest approval rating yet, 33%, in a poll that also found 64% of Democrats, including 94% of Democrats under 30, hoping for a new nominee in 2024. The poll did give Biden a slight 3-point advantage over Trump in a head-to-head matchup.

Poll respondents pointed to Biden's age as their chief concern, followed closely by his actual performance thus far as president.

Senior Democratic officials have worried for months that Biden's inability to advance liberal proposals, ranging from voting rights to an ambitious social spending bill, would drive down turnout among younger voters in particular. Those fears reemerged after Biden's response to the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade was deemed by many activists to be wholly insufficient. The names of possible primary challengers began to be bandied about.

Meanwhile, the White House predicted Tuesday that headline inflation would rise to 8.6% for June after months of polling had firmly identified the economy as voters' top issue heading into the next election.

Trump has similar problems. Fully 61% told Morning Consult that the former GOP president should not run again in 2024, with just 35% believing he should seek another term in the White House.

A second New York Times poll, also published Tuesday morning, found just 49% of Republicans supporting Trump against a hypothetical 2024 GOP primary field including Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. DeSantis finished first among the other candidates, at 25%, while everyone else registered single-digit support.

Still, 64% of Republicans under 35 and 65% of Republicans with college degrees said they want a different nominee than Trump. That group, plus Republicans who said they voted for Biden in 2020, selected DeSantis as their preferred nominee.

Trump's loosening grip on the GOP would appear to be a consequence of the nationally televised Jan. 6 hearings. The testimony of former Trump White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson in particular has appeared to shift sentiment among some Republican voters. The new Morning Consult poll, taken from July 8-10, found that 66% of voters believed Trump tried to overturn the results of the election, 66% believe he didn't provide adequate evidence to back up his election fraud claims, and 59% believe he outright lied to the nation about the election results.

Furthermore, 44% of Republicans now say Trump lied about the election results, a 7-point bump compared to late June. Sixty percent of Republicans do maintain that Trump is not responsible for the events of Jan. 6.

The former president predictably responded to the New York Times's Tuesday findings in a lengthy email sent to supporters and press.

"The failing New York Times is down 40% year-to-date because they are Fake News. Their reporters are dishonest, and their front page has become a work of total fiction, not news. They hate our Country, and they hate reporting the truth, which is why America is not respected and our Nation has never been weaker," his statement reads. "Instead, they obsess over January 6, just like they did over Impeachment Hoax #1, Impeachment Hoax #2, the Mueller Witch Hunt, and Russia, Russia, Russia. The New York Times will continue to decline because people no longer believe their reporting is even close to being true. Fake polls, phony stories, and made up quotes —they are a disgrace to journalism and have set it back many many years. THE NEW YORK TIMES IS TRULY THE ENEMY OF THE PEOPLE!"

...

Trump was clearly a better president than Biden or Obama.  He was hampered by a dishonest Democrat Russian collusion hoax effort that was supported by the media.  If he is the nominee I will support him.  I would also support DeSantis or the other potential nominees.  I will be surprised if Biden is the Democrat nominee.  He has alienated Democrats as well as Republicans and independents.  At this point, the Democrats also have what looks like a weak bench.  

BTW, I do think some states rigged the 2020 election by using Covid as an excuse to do away with voter integrity measures.  

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