GOP governor candidates looking competitive
Republicans may have botched their chance of winning the Senate after voters nominated several mediocre candidates in pivotal races. On the bright side, along with likely winning the House of Representatives, the crop of Republican gubernatorial candidates is looking better by the day.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball has moved Oregon’s gubernatorial race into the toss-up category. Outgoing Democratic Gov. Kate Brown is among the most unpopular in the country and, with the help of a former Democrat running as an independent, Republican nominee Christine Drazan has a shot at becoming the first GOP governor of Oregon since 1987.
Sabato’s Crystal Ball also rates Wisconsin as a toss-up, with a Marquette poll showing Democratic Gov. Tony Evers leading GOP nominee Tim Michels by just two points. In a third toss-up race, Democratic Nevada Gov. Steve Sisolak also leads GOP nominee Joe Lombardo by just 2 points.
It isn’t just the toss-ups where Republicans are faring well. In New Mexico in 2020, Republican Mark Ronchetti came closer to winning a Senate seat than the much-hyped Democratic Senate candidates in Iowa, Maine, and South Carolina. Ronchetti is now running against Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham (who was once floated as a running mate for Joe Biden). In the last three head-to-head polls, Ronchetti has trailed by just 3 and 4 points and led Grisham by a point in the third.
In Michigan, rising Democratic star Gov. Gretchen Whitmer also has a race on her hands. GOP nominee Tudor Dixon is just 5 points behind Whitmer in a recent poll. Democratic Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz also holds a low single-digit polling lead over GOP challenger Scott Jensen, as does Democratic Maine Gov. Janet Mills over her Republican opponent, Paul LePage.
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I suspect the Dem senate candidates are not that good either. I still think Biden is going to be a drag on Democrats in races across the country. He has the lowest approval of any President in history, and the Democrat Congress is pretty bad too.
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